AI Job Risk in Sweden
Sweden combines a strong engineering and industrial base with a vibrant technology and startup sector, a very large public sector, and labor-market institutions built around strong unions and collective bargaining. AI exposure concentrates in administrative and standardized technical work, while Sweden's emphasis on lifelong learning, strong worker protections, and a public sector oriented toward retraining means displacement pressure is often absorbed through negotiated transition rather than abrupt job loss.
Average generative-AI exposure of the workforce
0.323
ILO score (0–1). Rank 6 of 20 countries.
People in employment, 2025
5,235,000
ILO modelled estimate
What people in Sweden work as
Share of employment in each ISCO-08 major occupation group, and the group's average generative-AI exposure (ILO score, 0–1). The country figure above is the employment-weighted average of the exposure column.
| Occupation group | Share of employment | Exposure (ILO, 0–1) |
|---|---|---|
| Professionals |
34.0%
|
0.39 |
| Technicians and associate professionals |
18.5%
|
0.35 |
| Service and sales workers |
16.3%
|
0.26 |
| Craft and related trades workers |
8.0%
|
0.17 |
| Managers |
6.3%
|
0.36 |
| Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations |
5.9%
|
0.15 |
| Clerical support workers |
5.8%
|
0.53 |
| Plant and machine operators, and assemblers |
5.2%
|
0.20 |
Method: each country's employment by ISCO-08 major occupation group (ILOSTAT, ILO modelled estimates) multiplied by the average ILO exposure score of the occupations in that group (ILO Working Paper 140), then added up. The ILO publishes skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations as one group and leaves out the armed forces. The figure uses the ILO's 0–1 scale, not the 0–100 occupation index used elsewhere on this site, and it treats an occupation as equally exposed in every country.
How to read this page in practice
The notes below explain how to read the country figure, what kind of occupation mix raises or lowers it, and what this comparison can and cannot tell you.
How to Read This Country
Sweden is best read through the lens of its institutional strength as much as its industry mix. The country's engineering firms and technology startups generate real AI exposure in software-adjacent and process-engineering roles, but Sweden's collective-bargaining system and active labor-market policies mean the human impact of that exposure is shaped as much by negotiated retraining and transition support as by the technology itself. Its very large public sector, covering healthcare, education, and elder care, also anchors substantial employment in relationship-based work that AI can support but not replace.
What drives the figure
Sweden's employment concentrates in engineering and industrial manufacturing, a globally competitive technology and startup sector, telecom and forestry-linked industries, and an unusually large public sector delivering healthcare, education, and social care. AI pressure is strongest in standardized engineering documentation, software testing, financial administration, and back-office functions inside both industrial firms and government agencies. It is weaker in frontline public-sector roles such as nursing, elder care, and teaching, and in the hands-on engineering and manufacturing work that still requires physical problem-solving on production lines and in the forestry and mining operations that anchor Sweden's industrial regions.
What Holds Up Better
Sweden's resilience comes from the combination of strong worker protections and a public sector built around direct human care. Healthcare workers, teachers, and elder-care staff remain essential because their work is relational and physically present in ways AI cannot substitute for, and Sweden's collective-bargaining culture gives displaced workers structured pathways into retraining rather than leaving them exposed. Skilled engineers and technicians in advanced manufacturing also hold their value because Swedish industry competes on precision and innovation rather than low-cost repetition.
What This Page Does Not Claim
A national score cannot capture how Sweden's strong labor-market institutions change the practical meaning of exposure: a role can be technically automatable while remaining protected by collective agreements, active retraining programs, and a policy tradition that treats labor transitions as a shared responsibility. Read the score as a technical exposure measure, not a prediction of job loss, in a country where institutions actively mediate that transition.
Jobs Most At Risk from AI
This table is a current snapshot of the jobs that appear on the higher-risk side within this country profile. It is useful as a directional comparison, not as a permanent national ranking. Both lists only include jobs in the three occupation groups that employ the most people in Sweden, ordered by exposure index.
| Rank | Job | Occupation group | Generative-AI exposure |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Interpreter | Professionals | 98 |
| 2 | Translator | Professionals | 98 |
| 3 | Web Developer | Professionals | 97 |
| 4 | Technical Writer | Professionals | 96 |
| 5 | Programmer | Professionals | 96 |
| 6 | Content Writer | Professionals | 95 |
| 7 | Copywriter | Professionals | 95 |
| 8 | Data Analyst | Professionals | 95 |
| 9 | Data Scientist | Professionals | 95 |
| 10 | Software Tester | Professionals | 95 |
| 11 | Advertising Specialist | Professionals | 94 |
| 12 | Market Research Analyst | Professionals | 94 |
| 13 | Marketing Specialist | Professionals | 94 |
| 14 | SEO Specialist | Professionals | 94 |
| 15 | Social Media Manager | Professionals | 94 |
| 16 | IT Support Specialist | Technicians and associate professionals | 94 |
| 17 | Editor | Professionals | 94 |
| 18 | Sales Representative | Technicians and associate professionals | 93 |
| 19 | Telemarketer | Service and sales workers | 93 |
| 20 | Journalist | Professionals | 93 |
Jobs Safest from AI
This table shows the jobs that currently appear on the lower-risk side within this country profile. Read it as a structural comparison of work, not as a guarantee that these roles will stay unchanged.
| Rank | Job | Occupation group | Generative-AI exposure |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firefighter | Service and sales workers | 25 |
| 2 | Ship Engineer | Technicians and associate professionals | 27 |
| 3 | Water Treatment Operator | Technicians and associate professionals | 27 |
| 4 | Veterinary Assistant | Technicians and associate professionals | 28 |
| 5 | Paramedic | Technicians and associate professionals | 32 |
| 6 | Dentist | Professionals | 33 |
| 7 | Laboratory Technician | Technicians and associate professionals | 37 |
| 8 | Pilot | Technicians and associate professionals | 39 |
| 9 | Power Plant Operator | Technicians and associate professionals | 39 |
| 10 | Security Guard | Service and sales workers | 39 |
| 11 | Fitness Trainer | Technicians and associate professionals | 39 |
| 12 | Barista | Service and sales workers | 39 |
| 13 | Surgeon | Professionals | 39 |
| 14 | Sound Engineer | Technicians and associate professionals | 41 |
| 15 | Ship Captain | Technicians and associate professionals | 42 |
| 16 | Bartender | Service and sales workers | 43 |
| 17 | Chef | Technicians and associate professionals | 44 |
| 18 | Cook | Service and sales workers | 44 |
| 19 | Medical Assistant | Technicians and associate professionals | 46 |
| 20 | Veterinarian | Professionals | 47 |
Sources
Exposure index calculated by ai-job-risk.net from the datasets below (data as of October 15, 2026). US labour figures are from the BLS, unchanged.
- Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin & Rock, "GPTs are GPTs: Labor market impact potential of LLMs", Science (2024); data MIT licence
- Gmyrek, Berg, Kamiński, Konopczyński, Ładna, Nafradi, Rosłaniec, Troszyński. Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure. ILO Working Paper 140. Geneva: ILO, 2025. © ILO, CC BY 4.0
- Tomlinson, Jaffe, Wang, Counts & Suri, "Working with AI: Measuring the Occupational Implications of Generative AI", Microsoft Research; CC BY 4.0
- Anthropic Economic Index (job_exposure); CC BY
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025–35 and AI exposure categories
- ILOSTAT, ILO modelled estimates: employment by sex and occupation (ISCO-08), accessed 16 October 2026. © ILO, CC BY 4.0
The publishers did not prepare, review or endorse this site. Full citations, licences and method
Frequently asked questions
Q.Which jobs are most at risk from AI in Sweden?
Most exposed: Interpreter, Translator, Web Developer. Sweden's employment concentrates in engineering and industrial manufacturing, a globally competitive technology and startup sector, telecom and forestry-linked industries, and an unusually large public sector delivering healthcare, education, and social care. AI pressure is strongest in standardized engineering documentation, software testing, financial administration, and back-office functions inside both industrial firms and government agencies.
Q.Which jobs are safest from AI in Sweden?
Least exposed: Firefighter, Ship Engineer, Water Treatment Operator. Sweden's resilience comes from the combination of strong worker protections and a public sector built around direct human care. Healthcare workers, teachers, and elder-care staff remain essential because their work is relational and physically present in ways AI cannot substitute for, and Sweden's collective-bargaining culture gives displaced workers structured pathways into retraining rather than leaving them exposed.
Q.How exposed is Sweden to AI automation?
Sweden is best read through the lens of its institutional strength as much as its industry mix. The country's engineering firms and technology startups generate real AI exposure in software-adjacent and process-engineering roles, but Sweden's collective-bargaining system and active labor-market policies mean the human impact of that exposure is shaped as much by negotiated retraining and transition support as by the technology itself. Its very large public sector, covering healthcare, education, and elder care, also anchors substantial employment in relationship-based work that AI can support but not replace.
Q.Does high exposure mean jobs will disappear in Sweden?
A national score cannot capture how Sweden's strong labor-market institutions change the practical meaning of exposure: a role can be technically automatable while remaining protected by collective agreements, active retraining programs, and a policy tradition that treats labor transitions as a shared responsibility. Read the score as a technical exposure measure, not a prediction of job loss, in a country where institutions actively mediate that transition.