A1
Translators and interpreters
US jobs 2025–35: +2.0% US BLS category: Very high exposure
What AI changed
Neural machine translation turned much of the work from translating-from-scratch into post-editing an AI draft, and the pay structure followed the tasks down. High-volume, lower-stakes content is increasingly handled machine-first with a human checking the output.
Evidence
A January 2024 Society of Authors survey of 787 authors found that 36% of translators said they had already lost work to generative AI. A 2025 study by Carl Benedikt Frey and Pedro Llanos-Paredes, summarised on VoxEU, found that in U.S. regions with faster Google Translate adoption, each one-point rise in machine-translation use was associated with roughly 0.7 points slower translator employment growth. The shift is now reaching publishers directly: in August 2026, on its fiscal-year results call, HarperCollins' chief executive said the company aims to automate its overseas translations, particularly in India. In a September 2026 speech, Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook cited coding jobs and simultaneous translation as sectors where there is some evidence that AI may be decreasing labour demand. The BLS still projects slow growth for interpreters and translators from 2025 to 2035, while rating the occupation's AI exposure "very high".
What still needs people
Literary, legal, medical, and diplomatic translation still depend on people who carry nuance, cultural context, and legal responsibility. Live interpretation under pressure, where a mistranslation has real consequences, remains a human-led task.