Most At Risk Jobs

Occupations ranked by their generative-AI exposure index, highest first, with the BLS exposure category and the projected US employment change to 2035. High exposure means more of the work is tasks AI can do or is used for, not that the job will disappear.

Read Methodology
Rank Job Generative-AI exposure US BLS category US jobs 2025–35
1 Call Center Agent 99 Very high exposure -5.3%
2 Customer Support 99 Very high exposure -5.3%
3 Interpreter 98 Very high exposure +2.0%
4 Translator 98 Very high exposure +2.0%
5 Web Developer 97 Very high exposure +3.8%
6 Technical Writer 96 Very high exposure +0.8%
7 Programmer 96 Very high exposure -7.3%
8 Content Writer 95 Very high exposure -0.3%
9 Copywriter 95 Very high exposure -0.3%
10 Data Analyst 95 Very high exposure +34.6%
11 Data Scientist 95 Very high exposure +34.6%
12 Software Tester 95 Very high exposure +5.7%
13 Advertising Specialist 94 Very high exposure +7.0%
14 Market Research Analyst 94 Very high exposure +7.0%
15 Marketing Specialist 94 Very high exposure +7.0%
16 SEO Specialist 94 Very high exposure +7.0%
17 Social Media Manager 94 Very high exposure +7.0%
18 IT Support Specialist 94 Very high exposure -3.5%
19 Editor 94 Very high exposure -1.1%
20 Sales Representative 93 Very high exposure -0.9%
21 Telemarketer 93 Very high exposure -21.4%
22 Data Entry Clerk 93 Very high exposure -25.5%
23 Journalist 93 Very high exposure -5.9%
24 Database Administrator 92 Very high exposure -0.1%
25 Economist 92 Very high exposure +4.7%
26 Administrative Assistant 91 Very high exposure -6.0%
27 Financial Analyst 91 Very high exposure +7.2%
28 Proofreader 91 Very high exposure -0.9%
29 Cloud Engineer 91 Very high exposure +5.1%
30 Sociologist 90 Very high exposure +3.8%
31 Receptionist 90 Very high exposure -1.7%
32 UX Designer 90 Very high exposure +6.0%
33 Investment Banker 89 Very high exposure +1.4%
34 Loan Officer 89 Very high exposure +1.1%
35 Stock Trader 89 Very high exposure +1.4%
36 Travel Agent 89 Very high exposure +0.2%
37 Office Clerk 89 Very high exposure -6.0%
38 Tax Preparer 88 Very high exposure +4.7%
39 System Administrator 88 Very high exposure -4.1%
40 Business Analyst 88 Very high exposure +10.1%
41 Management Consultant 88 Very high exposure +10.1%
42 Cybersecurity Analyst 87 Very high exposure +21.0%
43 Museum Curator 86 Very high exposure +4.9%
44 Insurance Agent 86 Very high exposure +3.3%
45 Instructional Designer 86 Very high exposure +1.6%
46 Network Engineer 86 Very high exposure +7.7%
47 Librarian 85 Very high exposure +2.6%
48 Meteorologist 85 Very high exposure +2.6%
49 AI Engineer 85 Very high exposure +10.2%
50 DevOps Engineer 85 Very high exposure +10.2%
51 Game Developer 85 Very high exposure +10.2%
52 Software Engineer 85 Very high exposure +10.2%
53 HR Specialist 85 Very high exposure +6.4%
54 Recruiter 85 Very high exposure +6.4%
55 Court Reporter 85 Very high exposure -0.1%
56 Training Specialist 85 Very high exposure +10.8%
57 Urban Planner 85 Very high exposure +3.9%
58 Accountant 84 Very high exposure +5.0%
59 Auditor 84 Very high exposure +5.0%
60 Physicist 84 Very high exposure +7.2%
61 Customer Success Manager 83 Very high exposure +3.9%
62 Archivist 83 Very high exposure +3.4%
63 Marketing Manager 82 Very high exposure +6.9%
64 Product Manager 82 Very high exposure +6.9%
65 Graphic Designer 82 Very high exposure -1.7%
66 Historian 82 Very high exposure +3.0%
67 Astronomer 81 Very high exposure +7.8%
68 Scheduler 81 Very high exposure -1.3%
69 Machine Learning Engineer 80 Very high exposure +21.8%
70 Biologist 80 Very high exposure +4.7%
71 Anthropologist 80 Very high exposure +6.0%
72 Sustainability Consultant 80 Very high exposure +3.9%
73 Diplomat 79 Very high exposure –
74 Retail Salesperson 79 Very high exposure -0.3%
75 Logistics Coordinator 79 Very high exposure +17.6%
76 Supply Chain Analyst 79 Very high exposure +17.6%
77 Bookkeeper 78 Very high exposure -5.6%
78 Career Counselor 77 Very high exposure +2.9%
79 Real Estate Agent 77 Very high exposure +1.7%
80 Chemist 77 Very high exposure +6.4%
81 Claims Adjuster 77 Very high exposure -5.5%
82 Tutor 77 Very high exposure -0.2%
83 Animator 76 High exposure -0.3%
84 Real Estate Broker 76 Very high exposure +0.8%
85 Environmental Scientist 75 Very high exposure +6.1%
86 Professor 75 Very high exposure +2.0%
87 Retail Cashier 75 High exposure -6.5%
88 Mechanical Engineer 75 Very high exposure +11.2%
89 Psychologist 75 High exposure +11.7%
90 Insurance Underwriter 74 Very high exposure -3.8%
91 Supply Chain Manager 74 Very high exposure +6.1%
92 Warehouse Manager 74 Very high exposure +6.1%
93 Industrial Engineer 74 Very high exposure +12.4%
94 Bank Teller 73 High exposure -13.2%
95 Lawyer 73 Very high exposure +4.7%
96 Prosecutor 73 Very high exposure +4.7%
97 Compensation Analyst 72 Very high exposure +6.0%
98 Pharmacist 72 High exposure +5.2%
99 School Counselor 72 Very high exposure +2.9%
100 Research Assistant 71 Very high exposure +4.4%
101 Fashion Designer 70 High exposure +0.1%
102 Agricultural Scientist 70 Very high exposure +6.7%
103 Project Manager 70 Very high exposure +6.7%
104 Photographer 70 High exposure -0.7%
105 Hotel Manager 70 High exposure +3.8%
106 Procurement Specialist 70 Very high exposure +6.0%
107 Waste Management Specialist 69 Very high exposure +3.8%
108 Architect 69 High exposure +4.3%
109 Energy Engineer 68 Very high exposure +3.7%
110 Film Director 68 High exposure +4.0%
111 Music Producer 68 High exposure +4.0%
112 Robotics Engineer 68 Very high exposure +3.7%
113 Geologist 68 High exposure +5.1%
114 Video Editor 68 High exposure +3.7%
115 Property Manager 67 High exposure +3.7%
116 Radiologist 67 High exposure +3.4%
117 Social Worker 66 High exposure +8.5%
118 Civil Engineer 65 High exposure +6.4%
119 Construction Manager 65 High exposure +9.1%
120 Paralegal 64 High exposure -0.3%
121 Politician 64 – –
122 Operations Manager 63 High exposure +5.0%
123 Civil Drafter 63 High exposure +5.2%
124 Illustrator 62 High exposure -2.9%
125 Teacher 61 High exposure -0.4%
126 Tour Guide 60 High exposure +6.3%
127 Model 59 High exposure -2.1%
128 Surveying Technician 59 High exposure +5.8%
129 Electrical Engineer 58 High exposure +9.9%
130 Therapist 57 High exposure +11.9%
131 Interior Designer 57 High exposure +2.7%
132 Flight Attendant 56 High exposure +8.8%
133 Judge 55 High exposure +2.8%
134 Psychiatrist 55 High exposure +7.2%
135 Actor 54 Moderate exposure +0.0%
136 Detective 54 High exposure +0.2%
137 Human Resources Manager 54 High exposure +5.5%
138 Nurse 54 High exposure +5.6%
139 Composer 53 High exposure +1.2%
140 Waiter 51 Moderate exposure +2.0%
141 Doctor 51 High exposure +3.3%
142 Air Traffic Controller 50 Moderate exposure +1.7%
143 Athletic Coach 48 Moderate exposure +6.1%
144 Teaching Assistant 48 High exposure -0.3%
145 Quality Assurance Specialist 47 Moderate exposure +2.5%
146 Police Officer 47 High exposure +3.5%
147 Veterinarian 47 High exposure +9.4%
148 Medical Assistant 46 Moderate exposure +12.9%
149 Taxi Driver 45 Moderate exposure +11.5%
150 Cook 44 Moderate exposure +12.1%
151 Chef 44 Moderate exposure +6.6%
152 Bartender 43 Moderate exposure +5.0%
153 Ship Captain 42 Moderate exposure +4.0%
154 Delivery Driver 41 Moderate exposure +6.3%
155 HVAC Technician 41 Moderate exposure +10.9%
156 Sound Engineer 41 Moderate exposure -3.1%
157 Truck Driver 39 Moderate exposure +3.8%
158 Surgeon 39 Moderate exposure +4.0%
159 Barista 39 Moderate exposure +5.8%
160 Bus Driver 39 Moderate exposure +4.1%
161 Fitness Trainer 39 Moderate exposure +7.3%
162 Security Guard 39 Moderate exposure +0.9%
163 Pilot 39 Moderate exposure +8.3%
164 Power Plant Operator 39 Moderate exposure -5.1%
165 Mechanic 38 Moderate exposure +17.8%
166 Laboratory Technician 37 Moderate exposure +2.7%
167 Electrician 36 Moderate exposure +9.2%
168 Train Operator 35 Moderate exposure +0.5%
169 Warehouse Operator 34 Moderate exposure +8.9%
170 Dentist 33 Moderate exposure +5.7%
171 Paramedic 32 Low exposure +5.7%
172 Farmer 32 Moderate exposure -3.4%
173 Automotive Technician 29 Moderate exposure +5.0%
174 Plumber 28 Moderate exposure +6.8%
175 Veterinary Assistant 28 Moderate exposure +9.1%
176 Renewable Energy Technician 27 Moderate exposure +29.5%
177 Baker 27 Moderate exposure +5.5%
178 Ship Engineer 27 Low exposure +2.7%
179 Water Treatment Operator 27 Low exposure -5.7%
180 Firefighter 25 Low exposure +3.7%
181 Aircraft Mechanic 23 Low exposure +5.4%
182 Elevator Technician 22 Low exposure +5.7%
183 Carpenter 19 Low exposure +3.9%
184 Construction Worker 19 Low exposure +7.3%
185 Miner 19 Low exposure -1.0%
186 Welder 18 Low exposure +2.4%
187 Fisherman 17 Low exposure -4.2%
188 Housekeeper 13 Low exposure +0.6%

Exposure runs from 0 to 100 and compares occupations with each other, using public datasets (see sources). It is not a probability that the job disappears. Methodology

Frequently asked questions

Q.What does "most at risk" mean in this ranking?

It ranks every occupation we cover by its generative-AI exposure index, highest first. A high figure means a large share of the work is tasks AI can do or is already used for, not that the job will vanish.

Q.Does high exposure mean the job will disappear?

No. The BLS, the ILO and both AI companies whose data we use say the same: exposure is not job loss. Several of the most exposed occupations are projected to grow in the US to 2035; the change is usually in what the job consists of.

Q.How is the exposure index calculated?

We convert four public datasets to percentiles, two task analyses (Eloundou et al.; ILO) and two measures of real AI use (Microsoft Copilot; Anthropic Claude), and average the theoretical and observed halves. The methodology page gives the formula and the sources.

Q.How often is this ranking updated?

The figures change only when a source publishes a new edition, so the ranking is stable between editions. The date of the current data is shown on every page.

Keep exploring

Related reading

Page Links