AI Job Risk in India
India's labor market carries a uniquely exposed layer: a massive IT-services, call-center, and business-process-outsourcing industry built on exactly the kind of standardized coding, document processing, and customer-support work that large language models now perform directly. That exposure sits alongside a vast informal economy, agriculture, and domestic services sector that operates almost entirely outside the reach of AI tools, making India's labor market one of the most internally divided in the world.
Average generative-AI exposure of the workforce
0.206
ILO score (0–1). Rank 20 of 20 countries.
People in employment, 2025
591,572,000
ILO modelled estimate
What people in India work as
Share of employment in each ISCO-08 major occupation group, and the group's average generative-AI exposure (ILO score, 0–1). The country figure above is the employment-weighted average of the exposure column.
| Occupation group | Share of employment | Exposure (ILO, 0–1) |
|---|---|---|
| Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations |
55.9%
|
0.15 |
| Service and sales workers |
12.7%
|
0.26 |
| Craft and related trades workers |
11.3%
|
0.17 |
| Plant and machine operators, and assemblers |
6.0%
|
0.20 |
| Professionals |
5.8%
|
0.39 |
| Managers |
3.6%
|
0.36 |
| Technicians and associate professionals |
2.4%
|
0.35 |
| Clerical support workers |
2.3%
|
0.53 |
Method: each country's employment by ISCO-08 major occupation group (ILOSTAT, ILO modelled estimates) multiplied by the average ILO exposure score of the occupations in that group (ILO Working Paper 140), then added up. The ILO publishes skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations as one group and leaves out the armed forces. The figure uses the ILO's 0–1 scale, not the 0–100 occupation index used elsewhere on this site, and it treats an occupation as equally exposed in every country.
How to read this page in practice
The notes below explain how to read the country figure, what kind of occupation mix raises or lowers it, and what this comparison can and cannot tell you.
How to Read This Country
India is best read by separating its globally connected IT-services and BPO export sector, where AI substitution is direct and already underway, from the much larger domestic economy of informal work, agriculture, retail, and local services that AI barely touches. Junior software testing, routine coding, tier-one call-center support, and back-office outsourcing work done for Western clients face immediate competitive pressure from generative AI tools that can now perform many of the same tasks. That pressure has little bearing on the hundreds of millions of workers in agriculture, construction, small retail, and informal services who make up most of India's actual employment.
What drives the figure
India's economy combines a large, export-oriented IT-services and business-process-outsourcing sector concentrated in cities like Bengaluru, Hyderabad, and Pune, alongside agriculture and a vast informal economy that still employs the majority of the workforce. AI pressure concentrates heavily on entry-level and mid-tier IT work: routine software testing, basic coding, tier-one technical support, and back-office BPO processing for international clients are the most directly exposed roles anywhere in India's economy. That pressure barely reaches agriculture, construction, domestic retail, and informal services, which remain labor-intensive, cash-based, and largely untouched by enterprise AI adoption.
What Holds Up Better
What remains durable in India spans two very different registers. In the formal IT sector, senior engineers, architects, and client-relationship managers who translate ambiguous business needs into technical solutions retain value that junior, task-execution roles do not. Across the much larger informal economy, agricultural labor, construction, small-scale retail, and household and personal services remain resilient simply because they are physical, cash-based, and outside the reach of software tools entirely, regardless of how advanced AI becomes.
What This Page Does Not Claim
A single country score for India is unusually misleading because it averages a small, globally exposed IT-and-BPO sector against an enormous informal economy that operates by entirely different rules. The same number cannot describe both a Bengaluru software campus and a rural agricultural household. Read the score together with the sharp divide between formal, export-facing digital work and the vast informal and agricultural labor force that makes up most of India's actual employment.
Jobs Most At Risk from AI
This table is a current snapshot of the jobs that appear on the higher-risk side within this country profile. It is useful as a directional comparison, not as a permanent national ranking. Both lists only include jobs in the three occupation groups that employ the most people in India, ordered by exposure index.
| Rank | Job | Occupation group | Generative-AI exposure |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Telemarketer | Service and sales workers | 93 |
| 2 | Retail Salesperson | Service and sales workers | 79 |
| 3 | Retail Cashier | Service and sales workers | 75 |
| 4 | Tour Guide | Service and sales workers | 60 |
| 5 | Model | Service and sales workers | 59 |
| 6 | Flight Attendant | Service and sales workers | 56 |
| 7 | Waiter | Service and sales workers | 51 |
Jobs Safest from AI
This table shows the jobs that currently appear on the lower-risk side within this country profile. Read it as a structural comparison of work, not as a guarantee that these roles will stay unchanged.
| Rank | Job | Occupation group | Generative-AI exposure |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Housekeeper | Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations | 13 |
| 2 | Fisherman | Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations | 17 |
| 3 | Welder | Craft and related trades workers | 18 |
| 4 | Construction Worker | Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations | 19 |
| 5 | Carpenter | Craft and related trades workers | 19 |
| 6 | Elevator Technician | Craft and related trades workers | 22 |
| 7 | Aircraft Mechanic | Craft and related trades workers | 23 |
| 8 | Firefighter | Service and sales workers | 25 |
| 9 | Baker | Craft and related trades workers | 27 |
| 10 | Renewable Energy Technician | Craft and related trades workers | 27 |
| 11 | Plumber | Craft and related trades workers | 28 |
| 12 | Automotive Technician | Craft and related trades workers | 29 |
| 13 | Farmer | Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations | 32 |
| 14 | Warehouse Operator | Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations | 34 |
| 15 | Electrician | Craft and related trades workers | 36 |
| 16 | Mechanic | Craft and related trades workers | 38 |
| 17 | Security Guard | Service and sales workers | 39 |
| 18 | Barista | Service and sales workers | 39 |
| 19 | HVAC Technician | Craft and related trades workers | 41 |
| 20 | Bartender | Service and sales workers | 43 |
Sources
Exposure index calculated by ai-job-risk.net from the datasets below (data as of October 15, 2026). US labour figures are from the BLS, unchanged.
- Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin & Rock, "GPTs are GPTs: Labor market impact potential of LLMs", Science (2024); data MIT licence
- Gmyrek, Berg, Kamiński, Konopczyński, Ładna, Nafradi, Rosłaniec, Troszyński. Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure. ILO Working Paper 140. Geneva: ILO, 2025. © ILO, CC BY 4.0
- Tomlinson, Jaffe, Wang, Counts & Suri, "Working with AI: Measuring the Occupational Implications of Generative AI", Microsoft Research; CC BY 4.0
- Anthropic Economic Index (job_exposure); CC BY
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025–35 and AI exposure categories
- ILOSTAT, ILO modelled estimates: employment by sex and occupation (ISCO-08), accessed 16 October 2026. © ILO, CC BY 4.0
The publishers did not prepare, review or endorse this site. Full citations, licences and method
Frequently asked questions
Q.Which jobs are most at risk from AI in India?
Most exposed: Telemarketer, Retail Salesperson, Retail Cashier. India's economy combines a large, export-oriented IT-services and business-process-outsourcing sector concentrated in cities like Bengaluru, Hyderabad, and Pune, alongside agriculture and a vast informal economy that still employs the majority of the workforce. AI pressure concentrates heavily on entry-level and mid-tier IT work: routine software testing, basic coding, tier-one technical support, and back-office BPO processing for international clients are the most directly exposed roles anywhere in India's economy.
Q.Which jobs are safest from AI in India?
Least exposed: Housekeeper, Fisherman, Welder. What remains durable in India spans two very different registers. In the formal IT sector, senior engineers, architects, and client-relationship managers who translate ambiguous business needs into technical solutions retain value that junior, task-execution roles do not.
Q.How exposed is India to AI automation?
India is best read by separating its globally connected IT-services and BPO export sector, where AI substitution is direct and already underway, from the much larger domestic economy of informal work, agriculture, retail, and local services that AI barely touches. Junior software testing, routine coding, tier-one call-center support, and back-office outsourcing work done for Western clients face immediate competitive pressure from generative AI tools that can now perform many of the same tasks. That pressure has little bearing on the hundreds of millions of workers in agriculture, construction, small retail, and informal services who make up most of India's actual employment.
Q.Does high exposure mean jobs will disappear in India?
A single country score for India is unusually misleading because it averages a small, globally exposed IT-and-BPO sector against an enormous informal economy that operates by entirely different rules. The same number cannot describe both a Bengaluru software campus and a rural agricultural household. Read the score together with the sharp divide between formal, export-facing digital work and the vast informal and agricultural labor force that makes up most of India's actual employment.