AI Job Risk in Canada
Canada pairs an advanced, urban knowledge economy in finance, technology, and professional services with a resource economy built on energy, mining, and forestry that operates across vast, sparsely populated territory. That geography matters as much as sector mix: AI adoption moves fastest in the office towers of Toronto, Montreal, and Calgary, while extraction, transportation, and the bilingual federal and provincial public service depend on physical operations and language-specific administrative work that resist quick automation.
Average generative-AI exposure of the workforce
0.321
ILO score (0–1). Rank 7 of 20 countries.
People in employment, 2025
20,490,000
ILO modelled estimate
What people in Canada work as
Share of employment in each ISCO-08 major occupation group, and the group's average generative-AI exposure (ILO score, 0–1). The country figure above is the employment-weighted average of the exposure column.
| Occupation group | Share of employment | Exposure (ILO, 0–1) |
|---|---|---|
| Professionals |
21.8%
|
0.39 |
| Technicians and associate professionals |
18.0%
|
0.35 |
| Service and sales workers |
15.0%
|
0.26 |
| Clerical support workers |
11.6%
|
0.53 |
| Craft and related trades workers |
8.8%
|
0.17 |
| Managers |
8.6%
|
0.36 |
| Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations |
8.5%
|
0.15 |
| Plant and machine operators, and assemblers |
7.6%
|
0.20 |
Method: each country's employment by ISCO-08 major occupation group (ILOSTAT, ILO modelled estimates) multiplied by the average ILO exposure score of the occupations in that group (ILO Working Paper 140), then added up. The ILO publishes skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations as one group and leaves out the armed forces. The figure uses the ILO's 0–1 scale, not the 0–100 occupation index used elsewhere on this site, and it treats an occupation as equally exposed in every country.
How to read this page in practice
The notes below explain how to read the country figure, what kind of occupation mix raises or lowers it, and what this comparison can and cannot tell you.
How to Read This Country
Canada is easiest to read by separating concentrated urban knowledge work from resource extraction and the public administration spread across the country. Banking, insurance, IT services, and corporate administrative work sit in the exposed layer, concentrated in a handful of major metro areas with deep financial and tech sectors. Mining, oil and gas field operations, forestry, and the large bilingual public service sit in the more durable layer, where remote site work, safety-critical operations, and French-English service obligations under federal law keep substantial human staffing in place.
What drives the figure
Employment concentrates in financial services and technology in central Canada, energy and mining in Alberta and parts of the west, forestry and fisheries in coastal and northern regions, and a large public sector shaped by federal bilingualism requirements. AI pressure is sharpest in bank back offices, insurance underwriting, IT support, and administrative processing in major cities. It spreads more slowly through oil sands and mine site operations, forestry and fisheries work tied to remote regions, and public-facing government services that must be delivered in both English and French, which adds translation and compliance layers that slow any purely automated rollout.
What Holds Up Better
What stays durable is work anchored to physical resource operations and to Canada's bilingual public administration: mine and rig technicians, foresters, fisheries workers, and civil servants delivering federally mandated services in two languages. The country's reliance on a resource sector operating far from major population centers also means site supervision, equipment maintenance, and safety judgment retain outsized importance relative to economies built more heavily around office-based services, and translation obligations add a layer of work that has no equivalent in unilingual economies.
What This Page Does Not Claim
A single Canadian score blends a small number of dense, AI-exposed metro economies with vast resource and rural regions where the labor market looks entirely different. It also cannot capture how bilingual service obligations slow automation in public administration specifically in Canada, a factor with no equivalent in most peer economies. Read the number together with the urban-resource divide and provincial variation, rather than as one uniform national trend.
Jobs Most At Risk from AI
This table is a current snapshot of the jobs that appear on the higher-risk side within this country profile. It is useful as a directional comparison, not as a permanent national ranking. Both lists only include jobs in the three occupation groups that employ the most people in Canada, ordered by exposure index.
| Rank | Job | Occupation group | Generative-AI exposure |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Interpreter | Professionals | 98 |
| 2 | Translator | Professionals | 98 |
| 3 | Web Developer | Professionals | 97 |
| 4 | Technical Writer | Professionals | 96 |
| 5 | Programmer | Professionals | 96 |
| 6 | Content Writer | Professionals | 95 |
| 7 | Copywriter | Professionals | 95 |
| 8 | Data Analyst | Professionals | 95 |
| 9 | Data Scientist | Professionals | 95 |
| 10 | Software Tester | Professionals | 95 |
| 11 | Advertising Specialist | Professionals | 94 |
| 12 | Market Research Analyst | Professionals | 94 |
| 13 | Marketing Specialist | Professionals | 94 |
| 14 | SEO Specialist | Professionals | 94 |
| 15 | Social Media Manager | Professionals | 94 |
| 16 | IT Support Specialist | Technicians and associate professionals | 94 |
| 17 | Editor | Professionals | 94 |
| 18 | Sales Representative | Technicians and associate professionals | 93 |
| 19 | Telemarketer | Service and sales workers | 93 |
| 20 | Journalist | Professionals | 93 |
Jobs Safest from AI
This table shows the jobs that currently appear on the lower-risk side within this country profile. Read it as a structural comparison of work, not as a guarantee that these roles will stay unchanged.
| Rank | Job | Occupation group | Generative-AI exposure |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firefighter | Service and sales workers | 25 |
| 2 | Ship Engineer | Technicians and associate professionals | 27 |
| 3 | Water Treatment Operator | Technicians and associate professionals | 27 |
| 4 | Veterinary Assistant | Technicians and associate professionals | 28 |
| 5 | Paramedic | Technicians and associate professionals | 32 |
| 6 | Dentist | Professionals | 33 |
| 7 | Laboratory Technician | Technicians and associate professionals | 37 |
| 8 | Pilot | Technicians and associate professionals | 39 |
| 9 | Power Plant Operator | Technicians and associate professionals | 39 |
| 10 | Security Guard | Service and sales workers | 39 |
| 11 | Fitness Trainer | Technicians and associate professionals | 39 |
| 12 | Barista | Service and sales workers | 39 |
| 13 | Surgeon | Professionals | 39 |
| 14 | Sound Engineer | Technicians and associate professionals | 41 |
| 15 | Ship Captain | Technicians and associate professionals | 42 |
| 16 | Bartender | Service and sales workers | 43 |
| 17 | Chef | Technicians and associate professionals | 44 |
| 18 | Cook | Service and sales workers | 44 |
| 19 | Medical Assistant | Technicians and associate professionals | 46 |
| 20 | Veterinarian | Professionals | 47 |
Sources
Exposure index calculated by ai-job-risk.net from the datasets below (data as of October 15, 2026). US labour figures are from the BLS, unchanged.
- Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin & Rock, "GPTs are GPTs: Labor market impact potential of LLMs", Science (2024); data MIT licence
- Gmyrek, Berg, Kamiński, Konopczyński, Ładna, Nafradi, Rosłaniec, Troszyński. Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure. ILO Working Paper 140. Geneva: ILO, 2025. © ILO, CC BY 4.0
- Tomlinson, Jaffe, Wang, Counts & Suri, "Working with AI: Measuring the Occupational Implications of Generative AI", Microsoft Research; CC BY 4.0
- Anthropic Economic Index (job_exposure); CC BY
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025–35 and AI exposure categories
- ILOSTAT, ILO modelled estimates: employment by sex and occupation (ISCO-08), accessed 16 October 2026. © ILO, CC BY 4.0
The publishers did not prepare, review or endorse this site. Full citations, licences and method
Frequently asked questions
Q.Which jobs are most at risk from AI in Canada?
Most exposed: Interpreter, Translator, Web Developer. Employment concentrates in financial services and technology in central Canada, energy and mining in Alberta and parts of the west, forestry and fisheries in coastal and northern regions, and a large public sector shaped by federal bilingualism requirements. AI pressure is sharpest in bank back offices, insurance underwriting, IT support, and administrative processing in major cities.
Q.Which jobs are safest from AI in Canada?
Least exposed: Firefighter, Ship Engineer, Water Treatment Operator. What stays durable is work anchored to physical resource operations and to Canada's bilingual public administration: mine and rig technicians, foresters, fisheries workers, and civil servants delivering federally mandated services in two languages. The country's reliance on a resource sector operating far from major population centers also means site supervision, equipment maintenance, and safety judgment retain outsized importance relative to economies built more heavily around office-based services, and translation obligations add a layer of work that has no equivalent in unilingual economies.
Q.How exposed is Canada to AI automation?
Canada is easiest to read by separating concentrated urban knowledge work from resource extraction and the public administration spread across the country. Banking, insurance, IT services, and corporate administrative work sit in the exposed layer, concentrated in a handful of major metro areas with deep financial and tech sectors. Mining, oil and gas field operations, forestry, and the large bilingual public service sit in the more durable layer, where remote site work, safety-critical operations, and French-English service obligations under federal law keep substantial human staffing in place.
Q.Does high exposure mean jobs will disappear in Canada?
A single Canadian score blends a small number of dense, AI-exposed metro economies with vast resource and rural regions where the labor market looks entirely different. It also cannot capture how bilingual service obligations slow automation in public administration specifically in Canada, a factor with no equivalent in most peer economies. Read the number together with the urban-resource divide and provincial variation, rather than as one uniform national trend.