AI Job Risk in Canada

Canada pairs an advanced, urban knowledge economy in finance, technology, and professional services with a resource economy built on energy, mining, and forestry that operates across vast, sparsely populated territory. That geography matters as much as sector mix: AI adoption moves fastest in the office towers of Toronto, Montreal, and Calgary, while extraction, transportation, and the bilingual federal and provincial public service depend on physical operations and language-specific administrative work that resist quick automation.

Average generative-AI exposure of the workforce

0.321

ILO score (0–1). Rank 7 of 20 countries.

People in employment, 2025

20,490,000

ILO modelled estimate

What people in Canada work as

Share of employment in each ISCO-08 major occupation group, and the group's average generative-AI exposure (ILO score, 0–1). The country figure above is the employment-weighted average of the exposure column.

Occupation group Share of employment Exposure (ILO, 0–1)
Professionals
21.8%
0.39
Technicians and associate professionals
18.0%
0.35
Service and sales workers
15.0%
0.26
Clerical support workers
11.6%
0.53
Craft and related trades workers
8.8%
0.17
Managers
8.6%
0.36
Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations
8.5%
0.15
Plant and machine operators, and assemblers
7.6%
0.20

Method: each country's employment by ISCO-08 major occupation group (ILOSTAT, ILO modelled estimates) multiplied by the average ILO exposure score of the occupations in that group (ILO Working Paper 140), then added up. The ILO publishes skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations as one group and leaves out the armed forces. The figure uses the ILO's 0–1 scale, not the 0–100 occupation index used elsewhere on this site, and it treats an occupation as equally exposed in every country.

How to read this page in practice

The notes below explain how to read the country figure, what kind of occupation mix raises or lowers it, and what this comparison can and cannot tell you.

How to Read This Country

Canada is easiest to read by separating concentrated urban knowledge work from resource extraction and the public administration spread across the country. Banking, insurance, IT services, and corporate administrative work sit in the exposed layer, concentrated in a handful of major metro areas with deep financial and tech sectors. Mining, oil and gas field operations, forestry, and the large bilingual public service sit in the more durable layer, where remote site work, safety-critical operations, and French-English service obligations under federal law keep substantial human staffing in place.

What drives the figure

Employment concentrates in financial services and technology in central Canada, energy and mining in Alberta and parts of the west, forestry and fisheries in coastal and northern regions, and a large public sector shaped by federal bilingualism requirements. AI pressure is sharpest in bank back offices, insurance underwriting, IT support, and administrative processing in major cities. It spreads more slowly through oil sands and mine site operations, forestry and fisheries work tied to remote regions, and public-facing government services that must be delivered in both English and French, which adds translation and compliance layers that slow any purely automated rollout.

What Holds Up Better

What stays durable is work anchored to physical resource operations and to Canada's bilingual public administration: mine and rig technicians, foresters, fisheries workers, and civil servants delivering federally mandated services in two languages. The country's reliance on a resource sector operating far from major population centers also means site supervision, equipment maintenance, and safety judgment retain outsized importance relative to economies built more heavily around office-based services, and translation obligations add a layer of work that has no equivalent in unilingual economies.

What This Page Does Not Claim

A single Canadian score blends a small number of dense, AI-exposed metro economies with vast resource and rural regions where the labor market looks entirely different. It also cannot capture how bilingual service obligations slow automation in public administration specifically in Canada, a factor with no equivalent in most peer economies. Read the number together with the urban-resource divide and provincial variation, rather than as one uniform national trend.

Jobs Most At Risk from AI

This table is a current snapshot of the jobs that appear on the higher-risk side within this country profile. It is useful as a directional comparison, not as a permanent national ranking. Both lists only include jobs in the three occupation groups that employ the most people in Canada, ordered by exposure index.

Rank Job Occupation group Generative-AI exposure
1 Interpreter Professionals 98
2 Translator Professionals 98
3 Web Developer Professionals 97
4 Technical Writer Professionals 96
5 Programmer Professionals 96
6 Content Writer Professionals 95
7 Copywriter Professionals 95
8 Data Analyst Professionals 95
9 Data Scientist Professionals 95
10 Software Tester Professionals 95
11 Advertising Specialist Professionals 94
12 Market Research Analyst Professionals 94
13 Marketing Specialist Professionals 94
14 SEO Specialist Professionals 94
15 Social Media Manager Professionals 94
16 IT Support Specialist Technicians and associate professionals 94
17 Editor Professionals 94
18 Sales Representative Technicians and associate professionals 93
19 Telemarketer Service and sales workers 93
20 Journalist Professionals 93

Jobs Safest from AI

This table shows the jobs that currently appear on the lower-risk side within this country profile. Read it as a structural comparison of work, not as a guarantee that these roles will stay unchanged.

Rank Job Occupation group Generative-AI exposure
1 Firefighter Service and sales workers 25
2 Ship Engineer Technicians and associate professionals 27
3 Water Treatment Operator Technicians and associate professionals 27
4 Veterinary Assistant Technicians and associate professionals 28
5 Paramedic Technicians and associate professionals 32
6 Dentist Professionals 33
7 Laboratory Technician Technicians and associate professionals 37
8 Pilot Technicians and associate professionals 39
9 Power Plant Operator Technicians and associate professionals 39
10 Security Guard Service and sales workers 39
11 Fitness Trainer Technicians and associate professionals 39
12 Barista Service and sales workers 39
13 Surgeon Professionals 39
14 Sound Engineer Technicians and associate professionals 41
15 Ship Captain Technicians and associate professionals 42
16 Bartender Service and sales workers 43
17 Chef Technicians and associate professionals 44
18 Cook Service and sales workers 44
19 Medical Assistant Technicians and associate professionals 46
20 Veterinarian Professionals 47

Frequently asked questions

Q.Which jobs are most at risk from AI in Canada?

Most exposed: Interpreter, Translator, Web Developer. Employment concentrates in financial services and technology in central Canada, energy and mining in Alberta and parts of the west, forestry and fisheries in coastal and northern regions, and a large public sector shaped by federal bilingualism requirements. AI pressure is sharpest in bank back offices, insurance underwriting, IT support, and administrative processing in major cities.

Q.Which jobs are safest from AI in Canada?

Least exposed: Firefighter, Ship Engineer, Water Treatment Operator. What stays durable is work anchored to physical resource operations and to Canada's bilingual public administration: mine and rig technicians, foresters, fisheries workers, and civil servants delivering federally mandated services in two languages. The country's reliance on a resource sector operating far from major population centers also means site supervision, equipment maintenance, and safety judgment retain outsized importance relative to economies built more heavily around office-based services, and translation obligations add a layer of work that has no equivalent in unilingual economies.

Q.How exposed is Canada to AI automation?

Canada is easiest to read by separating concentrated urban knowledge work from resource extraction and the public administration spread across the country. Banking, insurance, IT services, and corporate administrative work sit in the exposed layer, concentrated in a handful of major metro areas with deep financial and tech sectors. Mining, oil and gas field operations, forestry, and the large bilingual public service sit in the more durable layer, where remote site work, safety-critical operations, and French-English service obligations under federal law keep substantial human staffing in place.

Q.Does high exposure mean jobs will disappear in Canada?

A single Canadian score blends a small number of dense, AI-exposed metro economies with vast resource and rural regions where the labor market looks entirely different. It also cannot capture how bilingual service obligations slow automation in public administration specifically in Canada, a factor with no equivalent in most peer economies. Read the number together with the urban-resource divide and provincial variation, rather than as one uniform national trend.

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By the AI Job Risk Index editorial team

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