AI Job Risk in Australia

Australia's economy rests on large mineral and energy exports concentrated in remote regions, alongside a services economy clustered in a few coastal capital cities, with vast distances separating the two. That geography shapes AI exposure directly: office-based finance, insurance, and professional services in Sydney and Melbourne face faster automation pressure, while mining operations, agriculture, and a growing aged-care and healthcare workforce spread across the country depend on physical presence that AI cannot substitute for.

Average generative-AI exposure of the workforce

0.315

ILO score (0–1). Rank 10 of 20 countries.

People in employment, 2025

14,170,000

ILO modelled estimate

What people in Australia work as

Share of employment in each ISCO-08 major occupation group, and the group's average generative-AI exposure (ILO score, 0–1). The country figure above is the employment-weighted average of the exposure column.

Occupation group Share of employment Exposure (ILO, 0–1)
Professionals
24.9%
0.39
Service and sales workers
16.6%
0.26
Technicians and associate professionals
13.4%
0.35
Managers
11.6%
0.36
Craft and related trades workers
9.6%
0.17
Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations
9.4%
0.15
Clerical support workers
8.7%
0.53
Plant and machine operators, and assemblers
5.9%
0.20

Method: each country's employment by ISCO-08 major occupation group (ILOSTAT, ILO modelled estimates) multiplied by the average ILO exposure score of the occupations in that group (ILO Working Paper 140), then added up. The ILO publishes skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations as one group and leaves out the armed forces. The figure uses the ILO's 0–1 scale, not the 0–100 occupation index used elsewhere on this site, and it treats an occupation as equally exposed in every country.

How to read this page in practice

The notes below explain how to read the country figure, what kind of occupation mix raises or lowers it, and what this comparison can and cannot tell you.

How to Read This Country

Australia is best read by separating city-based knowledge and service work from resource extraction and care work spread across a huge, sparsely populated landmass. Banking, insurance, and professional services concentrated in state capitals sit in the exposed layer, since this work is standardized, digitized, and unconstrained by distance. Mining operations, agriculture, and the fast-growing aged-care and disability-support sectors sit in the durable layer, where site-based safety obligations, seasonal and environmental variability, and direct personal care keep human labor central regardless of how advanced supporting software becomes.

What drives the figure

Employment concentrates in financial and professional services in the major capitals, a mining and resources sector that drives exports but employs a smaller, geographically remote workforce, and a large and expanding health and aged-care sector responding to an ageing population. AI pressure is strongest in mortgage processing, insurance claims, superannuation administration, and back-office banking. It moves more slowly through fly-in fly-out mining operations, farming tied to land and weather, and direct aged-care and disability support work, where an ageing population is increasing demand for hands-on human care faster than automation can substitute for it.

What Holds Up Better

The most durable roles combine site-based physical work with rising demand from demographic change: mining technicians and heavy-equipment operators, agricultural workers tied to seasonal and regional conditions, and aged-care and disability-support workers whose numbers need to grow simply because Australia's population is getting older. The sheer distance separating major cities from resource regions also means centrally designed automation is harder to roll out uniformly across the country, and remote and fly-in fly-out work schedules keep a premium on people who can be physically present on site.

What This Page Does Not Claim

A national score blends a handful of dense coastal service economies with vast inland mining and agricultural regions, plus a care sector expanding for demographic reasons unrelated to AI. It cannot show how much of the measured exposure sits in Sydney and Melbourne offices versus remote mine sites and farms hundreds of kilometers away. Read the score alongside geographic concentration and the demand pressure coming from an ageing population, not as a single uniform trend across such a large country.

Jobs Most At Risk from AI

This table is a current snapshot of the jobs that appear on the higher-risk side within this country profile. It is useful as a directional comparison, not as a permanent national ranking. Both lists only include jobs in the three occupation groups that employ the most people in Australia, ordered by exposure index.

Rank Job Occupation group Generative-AI exposure
1 Interpreter Professionals 98
2 Translator Professionals 98
3 Web Developer Professionals 97
4 Technical Writer Professionals 96
5 Programmer Professionals 96
6 Content Writer Professionals 95
7 Copywriter Professionals 95
8 Data Analyst Professionals 95
9 Data Scientist Professionals 95
10 Software Tester Professionals 95
11 Advertising Specialist Professionals 94
12 Market Research Analyst Professionals 94
13 Marketing Specialist Professionals 94
14 SEO Specialist Professionals 94
15 Social Media Manager Professionals 94
16 IT Support Specialist Technicians and associate professionals 94
17 Editor Professionals 94
18 Sales Representative Technicians and associate professionals 93
19 Telemarketer Service and sales workers 93
20 Journalist Professionals 93

Jobs Safest from AI

This table shows the jobs that currently appear on the lower-risk side within this country profile. Read it as a structural comparison of work, not as a guarantee that these roles will stay unchanged.

Rank Job Occupation group Generative-AI exposure
1 Firefighter Service and sales workers 25
2 Ship Engineer Technicians and associate professionals 27
3 Water Treatment Operator Technicians and associate professionals 27
4 Veterinary Assistant Technicians and associate professionals 28
5 Paramedic Technicians and associate professionals 32
6 Dentist Professionals 33
7 Laboratory Technician Technicians and associate professionals 37
8 Pilot Technicians and associate professionals 39
9 Power Plant Operator Technicians and associate professionals 39
10 Security Guard Service and sales workers 39
11 Fitness Trainer Technicians and associate professionals 39
12 Barista Service and sales workers 39
13 Surgeon Professionals 39
14 Sound Engineer Technicians and associate professionals 41
15 Ship Captain Technicians and associate professionals 42
16 Bartender Service and sales workers 43
17 Chef Technicians and associate professionals 44
18 Cook Service and sales workers 44
19 Medical Assistant Technicians and associate professionals 46
20 Veterinarian Professionals 47

Frequently asked questions

Q.Which jobs are most at risk from AI in Australia?

Most exposed: Interpreter, Translator, Web Developer. Employment concentrates in financial and professional services in the major capitals, a mining and resources sector that drives exports but employs a smaller, geographically remote workforce, and a large and expanding health and aged-care sector responding to an ageing population. AI pressure is strongest in mortgage processing, insurance claims, superannuation administration, and back-office banking.

Q.Which jobs are safest from AI in Australia?

Least exposed: Firefighter, Ship Engineer, Water Treatment Operator. The most durable roles combine site-based physical work with rising demand from demographic change: mining technicians and heavy-equipment operators, agricultural workers tied to seasonal and regional conditions, and aged-care and disability-support workers whose numbers need to grow simply because Australia's population is getting older. The sheer distance separating major cities from resource regions also means centrally designed automation is harder to roll out uniformly across the country, and remote and fly-in fly-out work schedules keep a premium on people who can be physically present on site.

Q.How exposed is Australia to AI automation?

Australia is best read by separating city-based knowledge and service work from resource extraction and care work spread across a huge, sparsely populated landmass. Banking, insurance, and professional services concentrated in state capitals sit in the exposed layer, since this work is standardized, digitized, and unconstrained by distance. Mining operations, agriculture, and the fast-growing aged-care and disability-support sectors sit in the durable layer, where site-based safety obligations, seasonal and environmental variability, and direct personal care keep human labor central regardless of how advanced supporting software becomes.

Q.Does high exposure mean jobs will disappear in Australia?

A national score blends a handful of dense coastal service economies with vast inland mining and agricultural regions, plus a care sector expanding for demographic reasons unrelated to AI. It cannot show how much of the measured exposure sits in Sydney and Melbourne offices versus remote mine sites and farms hundreds of kilometers away. Read the score alongside geographic concentration and the demand pressure coming from an ageing population, not as a single uniform trend across such a large country.

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AI Risk by Country

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By the AI Job Risk Index editorial team

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