AI Job Risk in Brazil

Brazil's labor market is defined by a large agribusiness export sector, a sprawling services economy, and one of the largest informal workforces of any major economy, alongside a banking and fintech sector that has industrialized much faster than the rest of the country. That split matters for AI: digital banking, call centers, and back-office finance are already deeply exposed to automation, while the vast informal and semi-formal service economy, agricultural fieldwork, and small-scale retail run on cash, personal trust, and physical presence that software cannot reach.

Average generative-AI exposure of the workforce

0.270

ILO score (0–1). Rank 17 of 20 countries.

People in employment, 2025

101,852,000

ILO modelled estimate

What people in Brazil work as

Share of employment in each ISCO-08 major occupation group, and the group's average generative-AI exposure (ILO score, 0–1). The country figure above is the employment-weighted average of the exposure column.

Occupation group Share of employment Exposure (ILO, 0–1)
Service and sales workers
22.5%
0.26
Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations
20.6%
0.15
Craft and related trades workers
13.3%
0.17
Professionals
13.1%
0.39
Plant and machine operators, and assemblers
9.4%
0.20
Technicians and associate professionals
9.0%
0.35
Clerical support workers
8.6%
0.53
Managers
3.5%
0.36

Method: each country's employment by ISCO-08 major occupation group (ILOSTAT, ILO modelled estimates) multiplied by the average ILO exposure score of the occupations in that group (ILO Working Paper 140), then added up. The ILO publishes skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations as one group and leaves out the armed forces. The figure uses the ILO's 0–1 scale, not the 0–100 occupation index used elsewhere on this site, and it treats an occupation as equally exposed in every country.

How to read this page in practice

The notes below explain how to read the country figure, what kind of occupation mix raises or lowers it, and what this comparison can and cannot tell you.

How to Read This Country

Reading Brazil well means separating the formal, digitized economy from the much larger informal one. Banks, insurers, telecoms, and large retailers have invested heavily in automated customer service, credit scoring, and back-office processing, so clerical and support roles inside those firms face real AI pressure. Outside that formal core, informal commerce, domestic services, construction labor, and small agricultural operations employ a huge share of workers in ways that are barely touched by digital systems, so a single national score has to be read against how much of the workforce sits in each layer.

What drives the figure

Brazil concentrates employment in agribusiness (soy, beef, sugar, coffee), retail and wholesale trade, a large public sector, construction, and a banking and fintech industry that is unusually advanced for the region and widely used even by lower-income households. AI pressure is heaviest in banking operations, insurance underwriting, call-center and customer-support work, and standardized administrative processing in large firms and government agencies. It moves far more slowly through agricultural fieldwork, logistics on poor or informal road networks, construction trades, and the informal retail and service stalls that make up much of urban commercial life across the country.

What Holds Up Better

What holds up in Brazil is work tied to physical terrain, informal-economy trust, and direct human negotiation. Agricultural labor, equipment operation on farms, construction trades, and last-mile delivery in dense or informal urban areas depend on physical adaptability and local knowledge that software cannot supply. Much of the services economy also runs on personal relationships and cash transactions built on trust between neighbors and repeat customers, a structure that resists standardization regardless of how capable AI tools become inside the formal sector.

What This Page Does Not Claim

A single national score for Brazil compresses a highly formalized banking and corporate sector into the same number as a very large informal economy that operates by different rules entirely. Regional gaps between wealthier southern industrial states and less-formalized northern and interior regions add another layer the average cannot show. Read the score together with how much of a given local labor market sits inside registered, digitized firms versus informal, cash-based work.

Jobs Most At Risk from AI

This table is a current snapshot of the jobs that appear on the higher-risk side within this country profile. It is useful as a directional comparison, not as a permanent national ranking. Both lists only include jobs in the three occupation groups that employ the most people in Brazil, ordered by exposure index.

Rank Job Occupation group Generative-AI exposure
1 Telemarketer Service and sales workers 93
2 Retail Salesperson Service and sales workers 79
3 Retail Cashier Service and sales workers 75
4 Tour Guide Service and sales workers 60
5 Model Service and sales workers 59
6 Flight Attendant Service and sales workers 56
7 Waiter Service and sales workers 51

Jobs Safest from AI

This table shows the jobs that currently appear on the lower-risk side within this country profile. Read it as a structural comparison of work, not as a guarantee that these roles will stay unchanged.

Rank Job Occupation group Generative-AI exposure
1 Housekeeper Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations 13
2 Fisherman Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations 17
3 Welder Craft and related trades workers 18
4 Construction Worker Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations 19
5 Carpenter Craft and related trades workers 19
6 Elevator Technician Craft and related trades workers 22
7 Aircraft Mechanic Craft and related trades workers 23
8 Firefighter Service and sales workers 25
9 Baker Craft and related trades workers 27
10 Renewable Energy Technician Craft and related trades workers 27
11 Plumber Craft and related trades workers 28
12 Automotive Technician Craft and related trades workers 29
13 Farmer Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations 32
14 Warehouse Operator Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations 34
15 Electrician Craft and related trades workers 36
16 Mechanic Craft and related trades workers 38
17 Security Guard Service and sales workers 39
18 Barista Service and sales workers 39
19 HVAC Technician Craft and related trades workers 41
20 Bartender Service and sales workers 43

Frequently asked questions

Q.Which jobs are most at risk from AI in Brazil?

Most exposed: Telemarketer, Retail Salesperson, Retail Cashier. Brazil concentrates employment in agribusiness (soy, beef, sugar, coffee), retail and wholesale trade, a large public sector, construction, and a banking and fintech industry that is unusually advanced for the region and widely used even by lower-income households. AI pressure is heaviest in banking operations, insurance underwriting, call-center and customer-support work, and standardized administrative processing in large firms and government agencies.

Q.Which jobs are safest from AI in Brazil?

Least exposed: Housekeeper, Fisherman, Welder. What holds up in Brazil is work tied to physical terrain, informal-economy trust, and direct human negotiation. Agricultural labor, equipment operation on farms, construction trades, and last-mile delivery in dense or informal urban areas depend on physical adaptability and local knowledge that software cannot supply.

Q.How exposed is Brazil to AI automation?

Reading Brazil well means separating the formal, digitized economy from the much larger informal one. Banks, insurers, telecoms, and large retailers have invested heavily in automated customer service, credit scoring, and back-office processing, so clerical and support roles inside those firms face real AI pressure. Outside that formal core, informal commerce, domestic services, construction labor, and small agricultural operations employ a huge share of workers in ways that are barely touched by digital systems, so a single national score has to be read against how much of the workforce sits in each layer.

Q.Does high exposure mean jobs will disappear in Brazil?

A single national score for Brazil compresses a highly formalized banking and corporate sector into the same number as a very large informal economy that operates by different rules entirely. Regional gaps between wealthier southern industrial states and less-formalized northern and interior regions add another layer the average cannot show. Read the score together with how much of a given local labor market sits inside registered, digitized firms versus informal, cash-based work.

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By the AI Job Risk Index editorial team

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