AI Job Risk in Brazil
Brazil's labor market is defined by a large agribusiness export sector, a sprawling services economy, and one of the largest informal workforces of any major economy, alongside a banking and fintech sector that has industrialized much faster than the rest of the country. That split matters for AI: digital banking, call centers, and back-office finance are already deeply exposed to automation, while the vast informal and semi-formal service economy, agricultural fieldwork, and small-scale retail run on cash, personal trust, and physical presence that software cannot reach.
Average generative-AI exposure of the workforce
0.270
ILO score (0–1). Rank 17 of 20 countries.
People in employment, 2025
101,852,000
ILO modelled estimate
What people in Brazil work as
Share of employment in each ISCO-08 major occupation group, and the group's average generative-AI exposure (ILO score, 0–1). The country figure above is the employment-weighted average of the exposure column.
| Occupation group | Share of employment | Exposure (ILO, 0–1) |
|---|---|---|
| Service and sales workers |
22.5%
|
0.26 |
| Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations |
20.6%
|
0.15 |
| Craft and related trades workers |
13.3%
|
0.17 |
| Professionals |
13.1%
|
0.39 |
| Plant and machine operators, and assemblers |
9.4%
|
0.20 |
| Technicians and associate professionals |
9.0%
|
0.35 |
| Clerical support workers |
8.6%
|
0.53 |
| Managers |
3.5%
|
0.36 |
Method: each country's employment by ISCO-08 major occupation group (ILOSTAT, ILO modelled estimates) multiplied by the average ILO exposure score of the occupations in that group (ILO Working Paper 140), then added up. The ILO publishes skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations as one group and leaves out the armed forces. The figure uses the ILO's 0–1 scale, not the 0–100 occupation index used elsewhere on this site, and it treats an occupation as equally exposed in every country.
How to read this page in practice
The notes below explain how to read the country figure, what kind of occupation mix raises or lowers it, and what this comparison can and cannot tell you.
How to Read This Country
Reading Brazil well means separating the formal, digitized economy from the much larger informal one. Banks, insurers, telecoms, and large retailers have invested heavily in automated customer service, credit scoring, and back-office processing, so clerical and support roles inside those firms face real AI pressure. Outside that formal core, informal commerce, domestic services, construction labor, and small agricultural operations employ a huge share of workers in ways that are barely touched by digital systems, so a single national score has to be read against how much of the workforce sits in each layer.
What drives the figure
Brazil concentrates employment in agribusiness (soy, beef, sugar, coffee), retail and wholesale trade, a large public sector, construction, and a banking and fintech industry that is unusually advanced for the region and widely used even by lower-income households. AI pressure is heaviest in banking operations, insurance underwriting, call-center and customer-support work, and standardized administrative processing in large firms and government agencies. It moves far more slowly through agricultural fieldwork, logistics on poor or informal road networks, construction trades, and the informal retail and service stalls that make up much of urban commercial life across the country.
What Holds Up Better
What holds up in Brazil is work tied to physical terrain, informal-economy trust, and direct human negotiation. Agricultural labor, equipment operation on farms, construction trades, and last-mile delivery in dense or informal urban areas depend on physical adaptability and local knowledge that software cannot supply. Much of the services economy also runs on personal relationships and cash transactions built on trust between neighbors and repeat customers, a structure that resists standardization regardless of how capable AI tools become inside the formal sector.
What This Page Does Not Claim
A single national score for Brazil compresses a highly formalized banking and corporate sector into the same number as a very large informal economy that operates by different rules entirely. Regional gaps between wealthier southern industrial states and less-formalized northern and interior regions add another layer the average cannot show. Read the score together with how much of a given local labor market sits inside registered, digitized firms versus informal, cash-based work.
Jobs Most At Risk from AI
This table is a current snapshot of the jobs that appear on the higher-risk side within this country profile. It is useful as a directional comparison, not as a permanent national ranking. Both lists only include jobs in the three occupation groups that employ the most people in Brazil, ordered by exposure index.
| Rank | Job | Occupation group | Generative-AI exposure |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Telemarketer | Service and sales workers | 93 |
| 2 | Retail Salesperson | Service and sales workers | 79 |
| 3 | Retail Cashier | Service and sales workers | 75 |
| 4 | Tour Guide | Service and sales workers | 60 |
| 5 | Model | Service and sales workers | 59 |
| 6 | Flight Attendant | Service and sales workers | 56 |
| 7 | Waiter | Service and sales workers | 51 |
Jobs Safest from AI
This table shows the jobs that currently appear on the lower-risk side within this country profile. Read it as a structural comparison of work, not as a guarantee that these roles will stay unchanged.
| Rank | Job | Occupation group | Generative-AI exposure |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Housekeeper | Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations | 13 |
| 2 | Fisherman | Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations | 17 |
| 3 | Welder | Craft and related trades workers | 18 |
| 4 | Construction Worker | Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations | 19 |
| 5 | Carpenter | Craft and related trades workers | 19 |
| 6 | Elevator Technician | Craft and related trades workers | 22 |
| 7 | Aircraft Mechanic | Craft and related trades workers | 23 |
| 8 | Firefighter | Service and sales workers | 25 |
| 9 | Baker | Craft and related trades workers | 27 |
| 10 | Renewable Energy Technician | Craft and related trades workers | 27 |
| 11 | Plumber | Craft and related trades workers | 28 |
| 12 | Automotive Technician | Craft and related trades workers | 29 |
| 13 | Farmer | Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations | 32 |
| 14 | Warehouse Operator | Skilled agricultural workers and elementary occupations | 34 |
| 15 | Electrician | Craft and related trades workers | 36 |
| 16 | Mechanic | Craft and related trades workers | 38 |
| 17 | Security Guard | Service and sales workers | 39 |
| 18 | Barista | Service and sales workers | 39 |
| 19 | HVAC Technician | Craft and related trades workers | 41 |
| 20 | Bartender | Service and sales workers | 43 |
Sources
Exposure index calculated by ai-job-risk.net from the datasets below (data as of October 15, 2026). US labour figures are from the BLS, unchanged.
- Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin & Rock, "GPTs are GPTs: Labor market impact potential of LLMs", Science (2024); data MIT licence
- Gmyrek, Berg, Kamiński, Konopczyński, Ładna, Nafradi, Rosłaniec, Troszyński. Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure. ILO Working Paper 140. Geneva: ILO, 2025. © ILO, CC BY 4.0
- Tomlinson, Jaffe, Wang, Counts & Suri, "Working with AI: Measuring the Occupational Implications of Generative AI", Microsoft Research; CC BY 4.0
- Anthropic Economic Index (job_exposure); CC BY
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025–35 and AI exposure categories
- ILOSTAT, ILO modelled estimates: employment by sex and occupation (ISCO-08), accessed 16 October 2026. © ILO, CC BY 4.0
The publishers did not prepare, review or endorse this site. Full citations, licences and method
Frequently asked questions
Q.Which jobs are most at risk from AI in Brazil?
Most exposed: Telemarketer, Retail Salesperson, Retail Cashier. Brazil concentrates employment in agribusiness (soy, beef, sugar, coffee), retail and wholesale trade, a large public sector, construction, and a banking and fintech industry that is unusually advanced for the region and widely used even by lower-income households. AI pressure is heaviest in banking operations, insurance underwriting, call-center and customer-support work, and standardized administrative processing in large firms and government agencies.
Q.Which jobs are safest from AI in Brazil?
Least exposed: Housekeeper, Fisherman, Welder. What holds up in Brazil is work tied to physical terrain, informal-economy trust, and direct human negotiation. Agricultural labor, equipment operation on farms, construction trades, and last-mile delivery in dense or informal urban areas depend on physical adaptability and local knowledge that software cannot supply.
Q.How exposed is Brazil to AI automation?
Reading Brazil well means separating the formal, digitized economy from the much larger informal one. Banks, insurers, telecoms, and large retailers have invested heavily in automated customer service, credit scoring, and back-office processing, so clerical and support roles inside those firms face real AI pressure. Outside that formal core, informal commerce, domestic services, construction labor, and small agricultural operations employ a huge share of workers in ways that are barely touched by digital systems, so a single national score has to be read against how much of the workforce sits in each layer.
Q.Does high exposure mean jobs will disappear in Brazil?
A single national score for Brazil compresses a highly formalized banking and corporate sector into the same number as a very large informal economy that operates by different rules entirely. Regional gaps between wealthier southern industrial states and less-formalized northern and interior regions add another layer the average cannot show. Read the score together with how much of a given local labor market sits inside registered, digitized firms versus informal, cash-based work.